Wednesday, July 06, 2005

Entering a dark age of innovation?

New Scientist Breaking News : "far from being in technological nirvana, we are fast approaching a new dark age. That, at least, is the conclusion of Jonathan Huebner, a physicist working at the Pentagon's Naval Air Warfare Center in China Lake, California. He says the rate of technological innovation reached a peak a century ago and has been declining ever since. And like the lookout on the Titanic who spotted the fateful iceberg, Huebner sees the end of innovation looming dead ahead. His study will be published in Technological Forecasting and Social Change."


Interesting premise. The article does a good job of discussing both Huebner's thesis as well as some critics. I am withholding judgement until I read the book, although history has taught us that these pragmatic views (Malthusians) have usually been wrong.

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